21 new coronavirus cases registered; mathematician cautiously optimistic

Updated 07:52 AM
Miguela Xuereb

Tista' taqra bil- Malti.

21 new coronavirus cases were reported by the health authorities on Sunday following 2,326 swab tests. Sharing an infographic on its Facebook page, the health ministry announced that 54 patients made a recovery. To date, 2,979 coronavirus cases have been registered in Malta with 590 still active. The cases reported on Saturday are still being investigated by the health authorities.

Mathematician Prof Josef Lauri, in comments to Newsbook.com.mt, was cautiously optimistic. “The epicurve finally shows signs of a downward trend of numbers. As one can see from this graphic, we are basically where we were twenty days ago, but then the numbers were increasing and today they are decreasing. Judging by previous patterns, either we will be soon reaching a trough followed by another (hopefully much lower) peak, or else this could be a run towards really small daily new numbers. Various time series models give forecasts ranging between 25 and 34 for tomorrow, but these are influenced by the recent fluctuations and high numbers we have had. However, if what was causing these recent numbers is now under control then we can really hope for a figure tomorrow more comparable to today’s”, said Prof Lauri.

From the 29 coronavirus cases reported on Saturday, eight cases were family members of previously known cases, a case belonged to a social gathering cluster, two cases were imported while a case was a work colleague of a previously known case. 17 cases remain unaccounted for.

The pandemic has claimed 31 lives.

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